RIGA - The Russian war in Ukraine has entered its next phase, Janis Sarts, head of NATO's Strategic Communication Center of Excellence in Riga, wrote on his Twitter account today.
Russia's war has entered its next phase, with Russia concentrating on hostilities in the South and Southeast, but the first phase with a comprehensive invasion of the country has failed. If the Russians do not try to resume its attack on Odessa, their positions will be strong and Ukraine's defenders will find it difficult, such a regional war may last for a while.
"Although it is easier for Russia to supply troops in the south and south-east of Ukraine, problems will remain in supply, command and morale, and therefore the Ukrainians have a chance (albeit difficult) to win in this theater of operations," the director of the NATO center said.
To increase the chances of victory, the Ukrainians need Western weapons, including heavy weapons and the strengthening of sanctions.
It must also be taken into account that the crimes committed by Russian soldiers in other occupied territories of Ukraine will make the Bucha tragedy pale in comparison, so great attention will be paid to concealing these crimes. In Sarts' view, this must not be allowed to happen.
"It is to be reckoned with that if Ukraine starts to win in the South and South-East as well, it will be an existential risk for some Kremlin residents. It will mean a willingness to make risky and ill-considered decisions," said Sarts.