Bank revises GDP, inflation forecasts

  • 2008-01-23
  • By Mike Collier

VILNIUS -- The Bank of Lithuania has decided that inflation levels and GDP growth will both be higher than it previously thought and has revised upwards its forecasts as a result.

A Jan. 25th bulletin issued by the bank notes that the expected inflation figure has been hiked significantly from 5.7% to 7.9% on the back of news that consumer gas prices are set to rise by more than 60% during the course of 2008 and that food prices are also set to continue a recent series of sharp price hikes.

GDP growth is also set to climb, the Bank believes, from 7.4% to 8.1%. While such strong growth looks impressive and may help to mitigate the negative effects of high inflation, it also points to the overheated nature of the economy.

However, the Bank sees the situation cooling off in 2009 with projected growth at a more sustainable level of 5.7% and inflation dropping off to 4.9%.