Latvia needs diplomatic expansion

  • 2012-10-17
  • By Janis Junkurs, Member of the Saeima & Member of Foreign Policy Council

An increasing number of analysts and experts believe that the global economic center is slowly but inevitably moving from West to East - primarily towards the economically fast growing Asian countries, but also towards an association of leading emerging economies known as the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa). For this reason, the logical question arises, what active steps is our country taking to adapt to these changes and to gain from these markets?

As it stands now, the economic foreign policy of Latvia, if it’s possible to use such a term, is clearly subordinated towards political interests, and focused on the European Union, but diplomatically the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Latvia, in addition to Brussels, traditionally is trying to please the so-called Anglo-Saxons, primarily the U.S., as well as Germany, the European Union’s leading member state. Perhaps, due to excessive trust the attempts to go beyond the Euro-Atlantic space are timid and modest, linking the future plans of foreign policy and  economics mainly to the West.

At the same time, the BRICS countries from a theoretical concept, existing only on paper have evolved into a real political union, their leaders meet regularly to iron out inconsistencies and align future plans of action, as well as to agree on yet more projects involving new economic cooperation. Already, BRICS countries now constitute a market worth at least 14 trillion dollars, which is still growing,  but even a fraction of this market would be a significant incentive and contribution to the Latvian economy.

Unfortunately, and for historical reasons, Latvia has close economic ties only with Russia. More recently, links with China have developed, but minimal attention is being paid to other equally fast growing markets - India, Brazil and South Africa. India, with its developed IT sector, which is undoubtedly of interest to Latvian entrepreneurs, is currently undergoing an intensive economic reform and is a regional power, which in many areas competes with China, while Brazil and South Africa are the strongest economies within their continents, having not only  significant economic influence, but also political influence in their parts of the world, which means – as a result of successful economic cooperation they can become the entry point for Latvia to South America and to Africa. At the same time, our country has only a couple of honorary consulates in neighboring regions to India, Brazil and South Africa. In practice, this means that Latvia is not represented to one and a half billion people in the world’s markets!

Of course, any cooperation must be mutually beneficial, and Latvia also has something to offer to entrepreneurs from these countries, including our unique geographic position, and the location at the border post of the former USSR and Europe, as well as our knowledge of the former Soviet Union markets. Unfortunately, the austerity policy implemented by Latvian governments for several years has also led to the fact that Latvian representation in many important parts of the world is limited to a network of Honorary Consuls, the latter primarily  dealing with non-economic issues. Due to austerity there are also no openings of new diplomatic missions although the benefits of long-term cooperation would far outweigh the costs of maintaining diplomatic missions, as evidenced, for example, by the opening of the diplomatic mission in Uzbekistan.

Latvia has to be ambitious, find funding and set a goal to open its embassies at least in India and Brazil by 2015, which would be a strong economic and political signal to the entrepreneurs of these countries. The necessary funds are not astronomical.  According to the estimates of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Latvia the costs to open embassies in Brazil and India are approximately 1.2 million lats.

Hopefully, now that it is becoming more evident that Latvia has overcome the economic crisis, the funds for these purposes will be granted, and I at least  as an MP hope to encourage such a process. Granting these funds is particularly important because a number of countries which stick to the principle of parity in the matter of diplomatic missions - want  embassies to be established on both sides. One such country is South Korea,  Asia’s fourth largest economy (after China, Japan and India).

South Korea is also important to Latvia. In May of this year, after several years of informal consultations, formal negotiations were started regarding the conclusion of a free trade agreement between three countries - China, Japan and South Korea. Of course, there are many contradictions among the countries of this potential economic alliance, but the market outlook is very attractive.

Basically, the words “free trade agreement” also mark the second main desired direction of Latvian diplomacy after the BRICS countries.  The global economic crisis has slowed down the formation of national economic alliances and free trade zones, but the most important areas, which sooner or later (but better sooner!) will  need a strong presence of Latvian diplomats, including the union of Gulf Arab countries, the South American free economic zone, the Union of South-East Asia and the African Union. The opening of fully functional diplomatic missions in the administrative and strategic centers of future alliances such as Jakarta and Riyadh should become the next goal of Latvian foreign policy. Only by implementing an ambitious foreign policy, diplomatic expansion in a positive sense, can we look forward to an economic success story with a great potential for the future.