Infectious disease specialist questions second wave of Covid-19

  • 2020-05-21
  • LETA/TBT Staff

RIGA - Considering currently available facts, forecasts of a second wave of Covid-19 pandemic in the fall can be called into question, Professor Ludmila Viksna who heads the infectious diseases department at Riga Stradins University (RSU), told LETA. 

"I do not have sufficiently compelling evidence," the professor said, adding that she has not found an explanation why there should be a second global Covid-19 wave in Latvia. The expert believes that this "might happen if the virus reentered a densely populated environment". But in Latvia's case, it is necessary to consider factors like a low density of population, strong public discipline and a responsible attitude to social distancing, Viksna said. 

The infectious disease specialists also does not have sufficient proof to suggest that the novel coronavirus could change so much to reappear again like it is the case with the flu virus. Viksna also pointed to the fact that flu does not appear at once globally as it currently the case with Covid-19. 

However, regardless of whether the second wave hits Latvia or not, Viksna believes that people will have to live with Covid-19 in the long term. 

Asked how many people in Latvia might have had the virus and acquired some immunity, the professor said that, based on very rough estimates, these could be 10 percent of the population. 

A number of experts have warned that a second wave of Covid-19 infection in Latvia is likely to coincide with the onset of the flu season this fall.